Frank
PANews官方作者
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With an actual win rate of only 60%, data reveals the truth behind ICO predictions on Polymarket.
Polymarket's token sale prediction market analysis reveals: 100% accuracy is misleading, with only 66.7% of predictions being accurate; the market is systematically overly optimistic; high trading volume is a contrarian signal; and conservative predictions perform better.
Frank
Lazy Person's Guide to Earning Money While Relaxing 2.0: Hold 10 BNB by 2025 and outperform 99% of tokens through Alpha and ecosystem "guarantees".
Holding 10 BNB in 2025 yields an annualized return of 53% with a passive strategy, and up to 215% with diligent participation in Alpha. This guaranteed return outperforms 99% of tokens, highlighting the significant advantages of the Binance platform.
Frank
The more it's banned, the higher the prices rise? Unveiling the truth behind the XMR price surge.
XMR (Monero), one of the leading players in the privacy coin market, hit a new all-time high on January 13, with its spot price exceeding $690, once again sparking discussions about privacy coins in the market.
Frank
Deep Dive into 290,000 Market Data Points: Revealing 6 Truths About Polymarket Liquidity
Deep Dive into 290,000 Market Data Points: Revealing 6 Truths About Polymarket Liquidity
Frank
In-depth analysis of 27,000 trades by Polymarket's top ten whales: The illusion of "smart money's" winning rate and the real rules of survival.
While many of these "smart money" investors employ hedging and arbitrage strategies in their actual operations, this hedging differs significantly from the simplistic hedging strategies interpreted on social media. The actual strategies are far more complex, going beyond simple "yes" or "no" combinations. They leverage rules like "over/under" and "win/loss" in sports events to create combined hedging combinations. Another important finding is that behind the remarkably high historical win rates lies a large number of unclosed "zombie orders" held by these whales, masking the true win rate, which is far lower than the historical average.
Frank
Navigating the darkest hour, Bybit staged a liquidity miracle in 2025.
Navigating the darkest hour, Bybit staged a liquidity miracle in 2025.
Frank
Gambling or Cognitive Monetization? Deconstructing the Smart Money Path and Eleven Arbitrage Strategies in the Prediction Market
Recently, the prediction market has emerged as a dark horse, not only because of its independent performance in volatile market conditions, but also because of the series of high-return "smart money" strategies that have emerged behind it, making it widely regarded as one of the most promising sectors in 2026.
Frank
PANews 2025 Annual Public Blockchain Data Review: A Moment of "Naked Swimming," Who Is Growing Against the Trend?
2025 will be a dramatic and watershed year for the public blockchain sector in the crypto world. If 2024 was a "carnival night" in which various new public blockchains competed for attention with high expectations of airdrops and grand narratives, then 2025 will be the "wake-up call" after the carnival.
Frank
Market Liquidity Survey: Amid Declining Liquidity, Retail Investors "Buy Lottery Tickets," While Major Investors "Purchase Insurance"
PANews attempts to analyze the current market capital landscape using data from several sources, including order book depth, the options market, and stablecoins. The ultimate conclusion is that the market does not appear to have experienced a genuine recovery, but rather is trapped in a structurally divided state characterized by continuously declining liquidity and institutional funds accelerating their defensive posture.
Frank
Hyperliquid's Rise and Fall: Some Rise Overnight, Others Die from Obsession
Delving into the on-chain data, these whales reveal a diverse range of personalities. Some are "contrarian indicators" who hold substantial funds but repeatedly fail, some are "snipers" who lie in wait for half a year to strike a decisive blow, and others are "cold-blooded machines" that use algorithms to harvest retail investors every second.
Frank
"A cornered beast's struggle": Crypto Treasury is losing its ability to buy at the bottom.
The collective failure to capitalize on the situation is not simply due to the depletion of "ammunition" at the peak or panic, but rather a systemic paralysis of the financing mechanism, which heavily relies on premiums, resulting in a situation where "money is available but cannot be used" during a downturn.
Frank
CZ engaged in a heated debate with gold advocate Peter Schiff, during which Schiff asked CZ for gold bars.
At the closing event of Binance Blockchain Week, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) engaged in an in-depth face-to-face debate with Peter Schiff, a well-known "Bitcoin skeptic" and gold advocate. During the dialogue, the two discussed gold and Bitcoin from multiple perspectives, including their value storage, transactional attributes, and monetary forms.
Frank
With the Federal Reserve announcing the end of QT, is this the starting gun for crypto or will it have to endure another winter?
In the past, has the end of QT truly brought new momentum to the market? PANews attempts to analyze the changes in the crypto market after the end of QT, using a method similar to the old adage "looking for a sword by marking the boat where it fell into the water."
Frank
Despite receiving investment from Tether and endorsement from the Central Bank of Brazil, why is Rayls, an enterprise-grade blockchain, more praised than commercially successful?
Rayls officially launched TGE on December 1st. This project, which had previously received almost no attention, received support from Coinbase and Kraken, two leading overseas exchanges known for their strict compliance and risk control, during its initial launch phase. It was also simultaneously listed on multiple exchanges such as Binance Alpha, Gate, and Bitget.
Frank
HIP-3 becomes a new engine for Hyperliquid: Leading DEX drives trading volume tenfold, but ecosystem challenges remain.
Behind the surge in trading volume is HIP-3's ambition to become the underlying trading platform for the future decentralized market. However, this transformation path is far more arduous than the data suggests.
Frank
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