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当预测市场进入“高交易量时代：Kalshi、Polymarket 与 Opinion 的结构性分化
预测市场正从低频押注，演化为高周转、可持续交易的市场形态。本文以 Kalshi、Polymarket 与 Opinion 为例，分析交易量跃迁背后的结构性变化，以及预测市场在娱乐化、舆论化与增长模型上的分化路径。
137Labs
曼昆研究 | 加密支付入门牌照优选之——加拿大MSB
不是宽松监管，而是监管预期清晰、可持续的支付起点。
曼昆区块链
Even the world's top large-scale models can't beat "Pokémon": These games are AI's nightmare.
The repeated setbacks of AI models in the Pokémon game exposed their shortcomings in long-term memory, open-world reasoning, and continuous planning, revealing the gap between general artificial intelligence and human cognition.
PA荐读
ClawdBot founder: GitHub account issue has been resolved.
The GitHub account issue has been resolved.
PA一线
Developing 15 products to test human nature, this "dopamine dealer" became Musk's product manager.
Musk appoints dopamine peddler Nikita Bier as head of X product, aiming to merge social and financial elements, build a super app through Smart Cashtags and emotional leverage, and explore a new era where influence is currency.
深潮TechFlow
While Wall Street is still debating, the digital yuan has already started "distributing money" to users.
The digital yuan has moved from M0 to M1, supports interest-bearing on its holdings, allows banks to independently develop value-added services, and smart contracts support programmable payments, accelerating cross-border applications. However, the real test for the digital yuan to truly leap from a policy tool to a mass-market product may have only just begun. But its path and potential are already clearer than in the past.
Nancy
Test co-authored article
Test co-authored articles
福布斯4 authors
Qiao Wang's Survival Rules in the AI Era: Hold 40% Cash, Invest Heavily in Google, Beware of the Crypto Bubble
Qiao Wang shared her 2026 investment strategy: Market sentiment is optimistic but valuations are high; allocate 40% to cash; be optimistic about stocks such as Google, Tencent, and Adobe; AI will reshape startups; moats are weakening but enterprise-level advantages are solid; health focuses on diet, sleep, and exercise.
深潮TechFlow
RWA、Meme和隐私：2026年谁才是真正的Alpha来源？
FOMO会让你在每个赛道都亏钱，耐心等待会让你在正确时机重仓。散户最大的优势是灵活。
WolfDAO
The U.S. Supreme Court did not rule on the legality challenge to Trump's global tariffs.
The U.S. Supreme Court did not rule on the challenge to the legitimacy of Trump's global tariffs.
PA一线
US Treasury Secretary: Seized Bitcoin will be added to the government's digital asset reserves
U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant stated that the seized Bitcoin will be added to the government's digital asset reserve.
PA一线
The CFTC chairman announced the launch of the "Future Proof" program to upgrade the agency's approach to cryptocurrency regulation.
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chairman Michael Selig announced the launch of the "Future Proof" program, aimed at comprehensively upgrading the agency's approach to regulating digital assets. In his first month in office, Selig stated that the CFTC needed to "upgrade" and planned a broad review of its rules, with the goal of achieving a "minimum effective dose of regulation."
PA一线
Tether minted an additional 1 billion USDT on the Tron network.
Tether has just minted an additional 1 billion USDT on the Tron network. As of now, Tether has minted a total of 2 billion USDT on the Tron network by 2026.
PA一线
Trump Media & Technology Group announced that registration for its digital token program will begin on February 2nd.
Trump Media & Technology has announced that the record date for its digital token program is February 2, 2026. At that time, the ultimate beneficial owners and registered holders who own at least one share of DJT stock will be eligible to receive tokens and related incentives.
PA一线
Netra×Titanpay 第四期：合规不是枷锁，而是护城河：TITAN 的 RWA 方法论
Titan RWA 中文区大使 Leo 围绕「合规的真实边界」「RWA 的资产选择逻辑」「支付与 RWA 的协同关系」以及「极端情形下的风险处置」等议题展开分享
Netra Media
Netra Media × OmniCare AMA｜第三期：当健康管理被写成 DePIN 白皮书：谁在定义“下一代医疗基础设施”？
AI 健康管理项目 OmniCare 围绕「AI 在医疗中的责任边界」「健康数据上链的取舍」「再保险与互助机制的现实应用」以及「医疗 + Web3 的可行路径」等话题展开分享
Netra Media
BitMine currently holds over 3.48% of the total ETH token supply, with total assets reaching $14.5 billion.
Nasdaq-listed Ethereum treasury company BitMine disclosed that it currently holds over 3.48% of the Ethereum token supply. BitMine's total cryptocurrency, cash, and "Moonshots" holdings amount to $14.5 billion, including approximately 4.203 million ETH, $979 million in uncollateralized cash, and other cryptocurrency assets.
PA一线
Strategy spent $2.13 billion to acquire 22,305 more Bitcoins.
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) disclosed that it spent $2.13 billion to purchase 22,305 bitcoins.
PA一线
Tiger Research：假如我是Kaito的创始人，面对InfoFi的变局会如何决策？
仅仅用了三天时间，X 平台的一个决定就终结了整个 InfoFi 生态系统。
Tiger Research
The Trump family's net worth has reached $6.8 billion, with crypto assets accounting for one-fifth of that.
Crypto assets have added approximately $1.4 billion to the Trump family’s wealth over the past year, and for the first time, cryptocurrencies now account for about one-fifth of their total net worth of approximately $6.8 billion.
PA一线
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Industry Key Indicators

Total Crypto Market Cap$2.91T
Bitcoin Market Cap$1.67T
Ethereum Market Cap$323.86B
ETH/BTC Ratio0.03
Ethereum Gas PriceNaN gwei
DeFi TVL$214.05B
Fear and Greed Index16 (Extreme Fear)
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet$658.76T

Hot MEME

Name
Market Cap
1h Trading Volume

Bill Market Peak Indicator

IndicatorCurrent ValueReference ValueHits
Bitcoin Ahr999 Index0.5 ▼ ≥4
Days of ETF Net Outflows4≥10
ETF-to-BTC Ratio8.85%≤3.5%
Bitcoin Bubble Index-0.2 ▲ ≥80
USDT Flexible Savings4.74% ▼ ≥29%
Altcoin Season Index41≥75
Bitcoin Dominance58.92% ▲ ≥65%
Bitcoin 4-Year Moving Average1.5 ▼ ≥3.5
MicroStrategy's Avg Bitcoin Cost76K ▲ ≥155.7K
Bitcoin Terminal Price83.8K187.7K

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